Is Rossi Betting Against His 1MW E-Cat Plant?

Quite a lot of attention has been given to this exchange on the Journal of Nuclear Physics:

Mr “AR”:
At the end of your tests it will turn out that your plants do not work and are not reliableI bet 1000 Euros to win 3000Eyros if you fail. I bet you will fail.
…and I remain anonymous, so you can say you spammed “nobody”.
Anonymous

Andrea Rossi

Anonymous:
As strange as it might seem, I think
maybe you will win your bet.
Warm Regards
A.R.

So here we have Andrea Ross seemingly siding on the side of a negative outcome to the E-Cat test that has been going on for almost 10 months now.  What are we to make of this apparent pessimistic attitude regarding the test?

Personally, I’m not sure.

To me it seems obvious that the “Rossi Effect” is real. There are plenty of reasons for me to come to this conclusion, many of which I have listed in this post. The recent interview that Fulvio Fabiani gave with Mats Lewan (http://animpossibleinvention.com/2015/11/25/rossis-engineer-i-have-seen-things-you-people-wouldnt-believe/) is in my opinion the latest piece of evidence in favor of the reality of the Rossi effect.

What’s not obvious is if the E-Cat plant that Rossi has been running for the last 10 months or so is up to the task of being a commercial product. From what AR has reported, the plant has needed hundreds of repairs over the course of the test, and now we know that Rossi is moving onto a new E-Cat design with the E-Cat X, which he seems to think is superior to previous versions of his reactor. The E-Cat X, however, has only been running for a month, and Rossi reckons that it will need a 6 month test to see if it will be useful in commercial products.

I have wondered whether Rossi has considered ditching the current design being used in the 1MW plant in favor of using the E-Cat X in future low temperature plants. I asked him whether future low temperature plants would use the same design as the one he is currently testing, and he replied:

Andrea Rossi

Frank Acland:
The external design will be similar to the one published in the artistic 3D embodiment published on http://www.leonardocorp1996.com
The technological design will inherit the enormous experience we made during the tests and will take advice of all the shortcomings we experienced in this important test.
Warm Regards,
A.R.

I later asked if he thought that future low temperature plants would incorporate E-Cat X units. His response:

Frank Acland:
It’s a possible option.
Warm Regards,
AS.R.

So I think Rossi might well be agreeing with “Anonymous” that his current plant is not reliable and would not be suitable to be put in the marketplace as it is right now — and that an improved design is needed. Does that mean the test results will be positive or negative? I guess that depends on the definition being used. They might be able to get the plant to limp across the finish wire having met the contractual requirements of the test, but that would not mean this design is suitable for the marketplace. In that respect the test could be considered positive in one sense, and negative in another.

I hope it will all be clearer early next year.

  • sam

    HE says MAYBE you will win your bet.
    The same as he has been saying about the final result
    Maybe Positive Maybe Negative
    I wish you a merry Christmas and a good E CAT newyear

  • jousterusa

    Mayve they are doing it with the e-cat tech at the new industrial park we’ve heard about!

  • http://magicmusicandmore.com/ Barry

    Plus Clovis, If you read Rossi’s updates via Frank, he reports overall stability for the last 10 months including this December. http://www.e-catworld.com/rossis-1mw-plant-performance-updates/

    Maybe Anonymous caught him on a bad day.

  • http://renewable.50webs.com/ Christopher Calder

    On a BTU or watt of energy basis, renewable energy sources are subsidised far more than fossil fuels. That said, my point is that all subsidies and mandates should be eliminated. People will still use fossil fuels because they work, but the renewable energy industry will go bankrupt. After all the hype and tax dollars wasted, solar energy provides only about .2% of US electricity, but looks how much money solar gets in subsidies.

    http://www.cnsnews.com/news/article/terence-p-jeffrey/solar-provides-02-electric-supply-002-obama

    It’s all a con and a false hope. We have lots of windmills, but most of the time windmills are not producing sufficient amount of electricity to make them worthwhile, and the costs of fossil fuel back-up systems and long transmission lines makes it all an economic disaster.

  • Brent Buckner

    I have often thought that the Rossi and the e-cat have parallels to Harrison and the longitude clocks. e.g. http://www.theguardian.com/science/2014/may/18/true-sea-shanty-story-behind-longitude-prize-john-harrison

    • bachcole

      Nice