It’s been a while since we have had much of an update from Andrea Rossi that provides any level of detail. He has usually said that ‘now is not the time for talking’, or something similar — but today, for whatever reason, he has provided the following update on the Journal of Nuclear Physics to Steven Karels:
1- within March 2014 I think will be completed the first part of the long term validation and the results will be published positive or negative as they might be.
2- we are aiming to obtain at least 3/4 of the time of operation in self sustained mode and the remaining 1/4 with a COP>1, so that the energy produced will be more than the energy consumed also during the periods with the drive on.
3- we are working now permanently at temperature (on the surface of the heat exchanging surface) that will allow an efficiency of 40% with the Carnot cycle. In these very days ( also during Christmas) the Hot Cat is working in our USA factory with a temperature upon the external surface, before cooling, around 1 000 °C. Enormous progress has been made in these months working with the Team of our US Partner. Here I found materials, expertise, professonality and, mainly, a moving trust in me that makes me feel extremely indebted. These factors are generating a strong force, with interesting results.
4- the publication of the theory behind the so called Rossi Effect I think will be published in 2014, but this is not a guarantee, because many are the factors this decision will depend from
5- the industrial plants are already for sale, because they have already obtained the safety certification, being operated by certified operators, while the domestic appliances, which will be operated by anybody, will need time to obtain the necessary safety certifications.
Please say hello to my beloved New Hampshire, where my US work has been started in 1996….
#1 March is not too far away! I would be wary of holding him to that date, however, as far as getting a report published. I remember last year after the testing was completed by Levi’s team it took two months before we saw the report.
#2 This sounds like a major improvement in the efficiency of the hot cat. In the second Levi test the hot cat had an overall COP of just under 3, and self-sustain periods were very short. From what Rossi says here, I would expect the COP to be much higher than 3.
#3 The kinds of sustained temperatures of 1000 C he is talking about here should allow for efficient generation of electricity on a large scale. It sounds like the people Rossi is surrounding himself with now have contributed greatly to the advancement of his technology — and Rossi apparently couldn’t be happier with their contributions.
#4 I wouldn’t hold my breath for the publication of the theory this year. I remember Rossi made a similar statement about publishing the theory at the October 2011 test. Probably competitive issues are what is holding back the publication of the theory. I’m reminded of a quote I read from Elon Musk this week who talked about the publication of patents: “We have essentially no patents in SpaceX. Our primary long-term competition is in China. If we published patents, it would be farcical, because the Chinese would just use them as a recipe book.”
#5 Even though these plants are “already for sale”, it seems like there are limitations on who can buy them. Rossi spoke recently about performing due diligence on potential customers. Not just anyone can order them and use them.
The comment about New Hampshire suggests that he is not working there — which may eliminate DEKA as being the partner. I have to say that I find that Rossi’s use of English has improved significantly.